Free Picks | StumptheSpread
Bet at 5dimes

SMU vs. North Texas


The SMU Mustangs didn’t get off to their ideal start under head coach Chad Morris going 2-10 overall in his first season as the head coach, but the Mustangs still have plenty of reasons for optimism going forward, especially on the offensive side of the ball. SMU has a solid option with Matt Davis at the QB position, but the Mustangs needs to get better decision making from their returning starter if he’s going to keep the job. The O-line was outmatched much of last season, but the run game expects to progress with Xavier Jones and Braeden West back. WR Courtland Sutton is also a star in the making. The defense suffered from a lack of depth last season, but recruiting is starting to bring in needed players albeit players without experience.

North Texas won just a single game last season and the Mean Green could very well be the worst team in the FBS this season. North Texas brings in new head coach Seth Littrell who’ll bring in an up-tempo high-powered attack on the offensive side of the ball, similar to what he ran at North Carolina. The new system needs a lot of options at the receiver position and this roster doesn’t seemed well made for this switch. Alabama transfer QB Alec Morris knows what kind of culture is needed to succeed, but he won’t have much in the way of weapons at North Texas. The offense will lean on a solid O-line coupled with RB Jeffrey Wilson who’s coming off an 830 yard season. North Texas allowed more than 500 yards per game last season and roster lacks depth, especially up front.

SMU appears to be in a much better position to make improvements this season than North Texas and the Mean Green might still be a few years away from building the kind of depth they need to compete at a respectable level. SMU should be able to move the sticks regularly with their run game against North Texas, and we see their defense doing enough to get the Mustangs the win and cover.

SMU   -9.5   -110   1 units